Tuesday 8 November 2016

SCIENCE vs CYCLONES.

The mercury, Hobart, Saturday 16 May, 1931.

SCIENCE v. CYCLONES
Hurricanes No Longer
Dreaded
Experience of S.S. Macumba
Given sea room, the modern steamer is
not imperilled by the fiercest hurricane
which can strike the Queensland coast,
but a recent experience of the A.U.S.N.
Co.'s s.s. Macumba proves that science
has provided a comparatively easy means
of avoiding or nullifying even the most
intractable cyclone. Illustrating the
fact, Captain H. P. Upward takes readers
back to January 29 of this year.
Three factors figure in the Macumba's
feat of actually tracking a cyclone down
the Queensland coast - knowledge of the
law of storms, wireless, and the broad-
casting of advance reports from Willis
Island, 207 miles north-east from Townsville.

Captain Knight did not have the advantage of wireless and a timeous cyclone warning.
Captain Upward says that most of the
hurricanes which affect the Queensland
coast occur in January, February, and
March. They generally come from the
east, and approach the coast between
Townsville and Cooktown. Mostly they
recurve south-easterly, pass southwards,
frequently as far as Brisbane, then move
off E.S.E., increase in area, and disperse.

This would certainly explain why the SS Geelong was subjected to three days of stormy conditions, following roughly the path from Townsville down the coast to Carlisle Island.

Others recurve some distance from the
coast, near the Barrier Reef, passing
southward and eastward, without causing 
much damage. These fierce storms are one 
of Nature's rough blessings.
They bring heavy rain and prevent
droughts, more especially those which
cross Cape York and get away inland.
In order to make clear the Macumba's
successful strategy, it may be explained
that the tropical cyclone consists of an
atmospheric whirl, rotating clock-wise
in the Southern Hemisphere, with spirally
inflowing winds attaining destructive
velocities, ranging from 60 miles an hour 
to, in extreme cases, 120 miles, (Captain Sim 
reported that the winds were between 70 and 
80 miles per hour) while moving along this line 
or progression at a velocity of five to 30 miles
an hour. They were once supposed to be
perfectly round, but are now known to
resemble the shape of the earth - even
elliptical.

The 'cyclone' coming from the northeast, from the direction of Willis Island, would have taken approximately 1 to 6 hours to moved across the stretch of sea between the Barrier Reef and Cape Bowling Green - Cape Upstart. Captain Sim, anchored in Bowling Green Bay, reported that the worst of the gale was between 11 pm, 23 March and 3 am, 24 March - 4 hours. 

DESTRUCTIVE SECTION.
The destructive section of a cyclone
is frequently less than 100 miles wide.
If a ship is in the centre of the storm,
facing with it, there will be a semi-circle 
to right and left, of which the left semi-circle 
is the most dangerous. 

Knowledge of this simple fact enables a 
captain who is being overtaken by a cyclone 
to take his vessel into the right or less dangerous 
semi-circle. 

The Yongala wreck site is within the steamer track between the Whitsundays and Townsville. This suggests that Captain Knight was aware of the dangers associated with altering course closer to the mainland in order to seek shelter. He was also caught between a rock and a hard place, because altering course to approximate the right semi-circle (left-hand), would have taken Yongala too close to the Barrier Reef. He had no choice but to continue within the track on course for Townsville.

According to Captain Upward, a skipper has 
three ways of knowing that a cyclone is
coming his way: the barometer, a wireless 
warning, and the ship's cat. The last of the trio 
is said to be remarkably quick in its reactions 
to impending weather changes.

While the A.U.S.N. steamer was approaching 
Mackay on her last voyage north, very suspicious 
weather began, heavy rain squalls from the east, 
with a slightly falling barometer. On February 1, 
when the Macumba reached Townsville, there were 
strong indications of a cyclone to the north, on the
York Peninsula. The warning signal was hoisted at 
the harbour office, and a message was received that 
a hurricane had crossed the Peninsula from the
west, gone out to sea between Cooktown and Cardwell, 
and ran slowly moving eastward toward Willis Island.

The s.s. Morinda, bound for Townsville, was sheltering 
under Gloucester Head from heavy easterly gales. Wireless 
had enabled her to locate the centre of the cyclone,
and the rate of progression, and, wisely to take precautions.
Willis Island wireless gave technical particulars on February 2, 
which showed that the Morinda and Macumba were on the 
right semi-circle of the line of progression, and that the former's 
best plan was to run north, while the Macumba steamer cautiously 
southward in the wake of the disturbance.

How very interesting. The Morinda could represent the Yongala, running north, and the Macumba, representing the Grantala, proceeding cautiously southward and then taking shelter at Cape Bowling Green. This rationale would certainly explain Captain Knight's decision to 'run north'.
"We sailed at 4 p.m., keeping to a certain 
course," says Captain Upward, "and at 10 p.m.
passed the Morinda, bound north. The weather 
was clear, but a nasty easterly sea was making
both vessels roll heavily. At noon on February 3 
we were well down among the Whitsunday Islands, 
with the cyclone still showing signs of converging 
with our course. If the tendency continued, it was 
evident that we should have to ease up before reaching 
position at which we would come together.

This part of the coast is the most picturesque 
in Australian waters, owing to its miles and miles 
of island chains, which practically form inland seas.
What a grand tourist resort it would make ! On this 
special occasion, however, I was glad to be getting 
through with moderately clear weather, and was
not thinking of tourist possibilities. On February 4 
a course was shaped inside the Percy Islands. 
The barometer began to fall rapidly, and the ship 
was swept by thick blinding rain squalls of hurricane 
force. Owing to the indraft of the islands, it was very 
difficult to get a true direction of the wind, but it was 
obvious that we were getting too close on the heels 
of the cyclone, especially as the flood tide - a king one 
at that - would cause the storm to incline in our 
direction. I decided to anchor and stand by till daylight! 
It was some satisfaction later to know that other ships, 
ahead and more to the eastward of our position reported
by wireless that they were having a bad time, one captain 
stating that he had passed through the centre of the cyclone.

The barometer fell rapidly and blinding squalls predominated with difficulty establishing the true direction of wind. Such confusing horror. It is interesting to note that despite adequate wireless communication and warning, ships found themselves in the brunt of the cyclone and at least one in the centre. 
  
I was glad that I had not proceeded
until the storm had passed. At 5 a.m.,
the barometer started to rise slowly and
the weather to improve all round. The
wind got more westing in it, and the
cyclone ahead of us gradually curved 
out to sea and was finally reported to
be 100 miles east of Capricorn, moving
E.S.E., expanding and losing force.

Having remained at anchor 14 hours,
the vessel proceeded, and, except for
the expected rough seas, reached port
without trouble. Following as we were,
on the heels of a cyclone, it is necessary
to keep as much westerly as possible in
your wind and to watch your barometer
closely.

Advice to watch the barometer was perhaps the most important take-home message. 

It is interesting to note, in connection
with the barometer, that from 4 to 10,
a.m. and pm; the barometer usually
rises, while from 10 to 4 a.m. and p.m. 
it falls. This is called the diurnal range,
and is most pronounced in the Tropics,
amounting to about one-tenth of an
inch. The movement becomes very
irregular when a storm is impending,
and that is the time to keep a sharp
lookout and heed any wireless warnings.

Sensible guideline (so similar to that relating to the Koombana disaster - see Koombana Revisited). 
Incidentally, according lo Captain Upward, 
the ship's cat becomes as jumpy as the 
aneroid barometer!


Did Yongala have a 'ship's cat' ??


Morning Bulletin, 2 July, 1947.

SEA STREWN WITH WRECKAGE
Captain Rhodes says that the
current belief that no trace of the
Yongala was ever found is wrong,
as the sea between Cape Bowling
Green and Palm Islands was littered 
with wreckage, much of it being 
kerosene in the square tins of the 
day. 

He said that the cyclone was small, 
but of great intensity, the barometric 
gradients being so steep that there 
was a difference of an inch in the 
readings at Cape Bowling Green 
and at Townsville pilot station. The
path cut by the storm through the 
timber at the head up Upstart Bay, 
in which great trees twisted and 
shattered, was most impressive.

What Butler saw suggested that
the tornado swept through the 
Inkerman area on a 30 mile front to
the sea, crossing the coast between
Cape Upstart and Cape Bowling
green. On the northern side of Cape
Upstart there had been a large
landslide and trees uprooted, but
cut off clean about eight feet from
the ground. 










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